Detecting Visual Field Worsening From Optic Nerve Head and Macular Optical Coherence Tomography Thickness Measurements.

PURPOSE

Compare the use of optic disc and macular optical coherence tomography measurements to predict glaucomatous visual field (VF) worsening.

METHODS

Machine learning and statistical models were trained on 924 eyes (924 patients) with circumpapillary retinal nerve fiber layer (cp-RNFL) or ganglion cell inner plexiform layer (GC-IPL) thickness measurements. The probability of 24-2 VF worsening was predicted using both trend-based and event-based progression definitions of VF worsening. Additionally, the cp-RNFL and GC-IPL predictions were combined to produce a combined prediction. A held-out test set of 617 eyes was used to calculate the area under the curve (AUC) to compare cp-RNFL, GC-IPL, and combined predictions.

RESULTS

The AUCs for cp-RNFL, GC-IPL, and combined predictions with the statistical and machine learning models were 0.72, 0.69, 0.73, and 0.78, 0.75, 0.81, respectively, when using trend-based analysis as ground truth. The differences in performance between the cp-RNFL, GC-IPL, and combined predictions were not statistically significant. AUCs were highest in glaucoma suspects using cp-RNFL predictions and highest in moderate/advanced glaucoma using GC-IPL predictions. The AUCs for the statistical and machine learning models were 0.63, 0.68, 0.69, and 0.72, 0.69, 0.73, respectively, when using event-based analysis. AUCs decreased with increasing disease severity for all predictions.

CONCLUSIONS

cp-RNFL and GC-IPL similarly predicted VF worsening overall, but cp-RNFL performed best in early glaucoma stages and GC-IPL in later stages. Combining both did not enhance detection significantly.

TRANSLATIONAL RELEVANCE

cp-RNFL best predicted trend-based 24-2 VF progression in early-stage disease, while GC-IPL best predicted progression in late-stage disease. Combining both features led to minimal improvement in predicting progression.